Author Topic: WE'RE STUFFED!!!  (Read 30857 times)

erik

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Re: WE'RE STUFFED!!!
« Reply #1860 on: June 01, 2013, 01:18:53 AM »
Big difference, indeed. The best policy would be not to rely on forecasts, but to apply common sense to prepare oneself for various eventualities.

Offline Nichi

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Re: WE'RE STUFFED!!!
« Reply #1861 on: June 04, 2013, 04:35:30 AM »
Not here, not there, but everywhere - always right before your eyes.
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erik

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Fracking and its effects
« Reply #1862 on: June 06, 2013, 04:09:47 PM »
We have entered or are just about to enter a new era of cheap fuel. The process used to extract it is called fracking. The US expects to be fuel-independent again in 20 years and the Middle East might lose much of its attractiveness for many countries. But what is facking and how does it impact our planet?

The Facts on Fracking

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/14/opinion/global/the-facts-on-fracking.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/14/opinion/global/the-facts-on-fracking.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0

OPPOSITION to fracking has been considerable, if not unanimous, in the global green community, and in Europe in particular. France and Bulgaria, countries with the largest shale-gas reserves in Europe, have already banned fracking. Protesters are blocking potential drilling sites in Poland and England. Opposition to fracking has entered popular culture with the release of “The Promised Land,” starring Matt Damon. Even the Rolling Stones have weighed in with a reference to fracking in their new single, “Doom and Gloom.”

Do the facts on fracking support this opposition?

There is no doubt that natural gas extraction does sometimes have negative consequences for the local environment in which it takes place, as does all fossil fuel extraction. And because fracking allows us to put a previously inaccessible reservoir of carbon from beneath our feet into the atmosphere, it also contributes to global climate change.

But as we assess the pros and cons, decisions should be based on existing empirical evidence and fracking should be evaluated relative to other available energy sources.

What exactly is fracking, or more formally hydraulic fracturing?

Many sandstones, limestones and shales far below ground contain natural gas, which was formed as dead organisms in the rock decomposed. This gas is released, and can be captured at the surface for our use, when the rocks in which it is trapped are drilled. To increase the flow of released gas, the rocks can be broken apart, or fractured. Early drillers sometimes detonated small explosions in the wells to increase flow. Starting in the 1940s, oil and gas drilling companies began fracking rock by pumping pressurized water into it.

Approximately one million American wells have been fracked since the 1940s. Most of these are vertical wells that tap into porous sandstone or limestone. Since the 1990s, however, gas companies have been able to harvest the gas still stuck in the original shale source. Fracking shale is accomplished by drilling horizontal wells that extend from their vertical well shafts along thin, horizontal shale layers.

This horizontal drilling has enabled engineers to inject millions of gallons of high-pressure water directly into layers of shale to create the fractures that release the gas. Chemicals added to the water dissolve minerals, kill bacteria that might plug up the well, and insert sand to prop open the fractures.

Most opponents of fracking focus on potential local environmental consequences. Some of these are specific to the new fracking technology, while others apply more generally to natural gas extraction.

The fracking cocktail includes acids, detergents and poisons that are not regulated by federal laws but can be problematic if they seep into drinking water. Fracking since the 1990s has used greater volumes of cocktail-laden water, injected at higher pressures. Methane gas can escape into the environment out of any gas well, creating the real though remote possibility of dangerous explosions. Water from all gas wells often returns to the surface containing extremely low but measurable concentrations of radioactive elements and huge concentrations of salt. This brine can be detrimental if not disposed of properly. Injection of brine into deep wells for disposal has in rare cases triggered small earthquakes.

In addition to these local effects, natural gas extraction has global environmental consequences, because the methane gas that is accessed through extraction and the carbon dioxide released during methane burning are both greenhouse gases that contribute to global climate change. New fracking technologies allow for the extraction of more gas, thus contributing more to climate change than previous natural gas extraction.

As politicians in Europe and the United States consider whether, and under what conditions, fracking should be allowed, the experience of Pennsylvania is instructive. Pennsylvania has seen rapid development of the Marcellus shale, a geological formation that could contain nearly 500 trillion cubic feet of gas — enough to power all American homes for 50 years at recent rates of residential use.

Some of the local effects of drilling and fracking have gotten a lot of press but caused few problems, while others are more serious. For example, of the tens of thousands of deep injection wells in use by the energy industry across the United States, only about eight locations have experienced injection-induced earthquakes, most too weak to feel and none causing significant damage.

The Pennsylvania experience with water contamination is also instructive. In Pennsylvania, shale gas is accessed at depths of thousands of feet while drinking water is extracted from depths of only hundreds of feet. Nowhere in the state have fracking compounds injected at depth been shown to contaminate drinking water.

In one study of 200 private water wells in the fracking regions of Pennsylvania, water quality was the same before and soon after drilling in all wells except one. The only surprise from that study was that many of the wells failed drinking water regulations before drilling started. But trucking and storage accidents have spilled fracking fluids and brines, leading to contamination of water and soils that had to be cleaned up. The fact that gas companies do not always disclose the composition of all fracking and drilling compounds makes it difficult to monitor for injected chemicals in streams and groundwater.

Pennsylvania has also seen instances of methane leaking into aquifers in regions where shale-gas drilling is ongoing. Some of this gas is “drift gas” that forms naturally in deposits left behind by the last glaciation. But sometimes methane leaks out of gas wells because, in 1 to 2 percent of the wells, casings are not structurally sound. The casings can be fixed to address these minor leaks, and the risk of such methane leaks could further decrease if casings were designed specifically for each geological location.

The disposal of shale gas brine was initially addressed in Pennsylvania by allowing the industry to use municipal water treatment plants that were not equipped to handle the unhealthy components. Since new regulations in 2011, however, Pennsylvania companies now recycle 90 percent of this briny water by using it to frack more shale.

In sum, the experience of fracking in Pennsylvania has led to industry practices that mitigate the effect of drilling and fracking on the local environment.

And while the natural gas produced by fracking does add greenhouse gases to the atmosphere through leakage during gas extraction and carbon dioxide release during burning, it in fact holds a significant environmental advantage over coal mining. Shale gas emits half the carbon dioxide per unit of energy as does coal, and coal burning also emits metals such as mercury into the atmosphere that eventually settle back into our soils and waters.

Europe is currently increasing its reliance on coal while discouraging or banning fracking. If we are going to get our energy from hydrocarbons, blocking fracking while relying on coal looks like a bad trade-off for the environment.

So, should the United States and Europe encourage fracking or ban it? Short-run economic interests support fracking. In the experience of Pennsylvania, natural gas prices fall and jobs are created both directly in the gas industry and indirectly as regional and national economies benefit from lower energy costs. Europe can benefit from lessons learned in Pennsylvania, minimizing damage to the local environment.

The geopolitical shift that would result from decreasing reliance on oil, and more specifically on Russian oil and gas, is one that European politicians might not want to ignore. And if natural gas displaces coal, then fracking is good not only for the economy but also for the global environment.

But if fracked gas merely displaces efforts to develop cleaner, non-carbon, energy sources without decreasing reliance on coal, the doom and gloom of more rapid global climate change will be realized.

Susan Brantley is distinguished professor of geosciences and director of the Earth and Environmental Systems Institute at Pennsylvania State University, and a member of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences. Anna Meyendorff is a faculty associate at the International Policy Center of the Ford School of Public Policy at the University of Michigan, and a manager at Analysis Group. 

The views expressed in this piece are those of the authors and do not reflect the views of Pennsylvania State University, the University of Michigan, or Analysis Group.

Offline Michael

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Re: WE'RE STUFFED!!!
« Reply #1863 on: June 12, 2013, 10:07:37 PM »
Curious article. Fracking of shale and coal represent such huge financial leverage, there is no way anyone will stop it. So his last comment will be the outcome.

Offline Michael

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we've crossed the rubicon
« Reply #1864 on: June 12, 2013, 10:12:08 PM »
Snowden has irretrievably damaged Obama, and Hezbollah's entry into Syria is unbelievably serious for the world - I can't believe how desperately quiet everyone has gone with this news.

Offline Jennifer-

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Re: we've crossed the rubicon
« Reply #1865 on: June 13, 2013, 10:54:47 AM »
Snowden has irretrievably damaged Obama, and Hezbollah's entry into Syria is unbelievably serious for the world - I can't believe how desperately quiet everyone has gone with this news.

Agreed. Steve said much the same thing today... he has been to Syria before and it was one of the worst conflicts he had to take part in..(which sparks special interest in him) he's been having to search for info. not sit down and watch the news to stay updated.
Without constant complete silence meditation - samadi - we lose ourselves in the game.  MM

erik

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Re: we've crossed the rubicon
« Reply #1866 on: June 13, 2013, 04:37:58 PM »
Agreed. Steve said much the same thing today... he has been to Syria before and it was one of the worst conflicts he had to take part in..(which sparks special interest in him) he's been having to search for info. not sit down and watch the news to stay updated.

Steve has been in Syria? Sometime since March 2011 when this war started? If so, I'd suggest you keep this information very much to yourself for the time being. The US has so far officially denied any involvement of its armed forces in Syria. There have been unconfirmed news about deployments of the US SOF troops to Jordan and other neighbouring countries. The CIA has been active and instrumental in supplying thousands of tons of weapons to rebels.

Steve might find these analyses of interest:
http://www.understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/TheAssadRegime-web.pdf
http://www.understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/SyrianArmy-DocOOB.pdf
http://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/syria-update-jabhat-nusra-aligns-al-qaeda
http://www.understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/The-Free-Syrian-Army-24MAR.pdf

These would provide a general overview. If he wants to dig deeper and go into detail, he might go down the list here: http://www.understandingwar.org/publications?type%5B%5D=backgrounder&type%5B%5D=map&type%5B%5D=other_work&type%5B%5D=report&tid%5B%5D=293&field_lastname_value=&sort_by=created&sort_order=DESC&=Search
« Last Edit: June 13, 2013, 10:09:13 PM by erik »

erik

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Re: we've crossed the rubicon
« Reply #1867 on: June 13, 2013, 05:06:21 PM »
Snowden has irretrievably damaged Obama, and Hezbollah's entry into Syria is unbelievably serious for the world - I can't believe how desperately quiet everyone has gone with this news.

Damage to Obama? Oh well, there have been scandals about Echelon, the US spies have been expelled by Germany, etc. I'd guess that in one year it is likely to be forgotten.

Syria has been an intensifying proxy war since the beginning of 2012. Iran, Russia, Hezbollah support al-Assad. Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Turkey support rebels, but quarrel about the role of Muslim Brotherhood. Turkey and Qatar want them to lead and rule, Saudis consider them a threat to their monarchy. If external support ceased, this war would end quite soon.
« Last Edit: June 13, 2013, 10:06:37 PM by erik »

Offline Michael

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Re: WE'RE STUFFED!!!
« Reply #1868 on: June 14, 2013, 09:00:39 PM »
Snowden: this is above the heads of most people, but it has filtered down with a few examples. More importantly it has created a watershed across the globe among the demographic who realise the situation. It has also demonstrated that the US is as culpable in the hacking business as is China. We are entering a globalised world, where a couple fiddling with their computerised gadgets in bed, and sending each other snippets of info or video etc, are being monitored by the State. Here in Australia we have all been wondering why ASIO in Canberra has been building the most massive structure in the centre of the city - now we know. It's to handle the stupendous volume of data being sent them from the PRISIM surveillance program in the US. We knew it was likely, we knew it has some justification, but we didn't know the vast extent of this surveillance, and once you include face recognition cameras in every public place, you have something even Orwell didn't imaging.

Syria: just to get the scope of this drama/tragedy. We have all known that there exist in this war a proxy war between Shia and Sunni. And we have discovered that Al Qaeda has people on the ground with the Rebels. The Rebels were originally broader, but became more sectarian some time ago. I'm sure they still have many sectarian factions amongst them, but for the main, I think we can now call them: Sunnai, backed by Saudi Arabia, with elements of Al Qaeda (who are also backed by Saudi Arabia religiously, if not politically).

The entry of Hezbollah marks a huge turning point, because, although they were always supporting the Alawites, as both are Shia and backed by Iran, putting men-on-the-ground in such a blatant and public way has not happened until now.

It is as if the gloves-are-off. What we have now is a precedence for an all out hands-on war in Syria between Saudi Arabia and Iran. Who do we expect to see sending troops in to fight alongside the Rebels?

But that's the small part. Then we have Israel who have already bombed the supply lines between Hezbollah and Syria. Hezbollah are now building a formidable force in a country (Lebanon) right next to Israel, which looks to now have become sucked into the Syria conflict. Expect Lebanon to explode any day. What will Israel do?

Then we have the West's proxy war, for public sympathy, and the age-old battle between Russia (for al-Assad) and the UK with the US (for the Rebels). The West has been supporting the Rebels, and have declared that chemical weapons would be a game-changer. Well, it's happened. Tonight the US have acknowledged chemical weapons have been used, and they will lift their game accordingly. But does that mean the US is supporting Al Qaeda?

Dear me this thing has become tricky, and we haven't even started.

Then we have two more issues. Turkey also has a large Alawite community, but is predominantly Sunni. And we all know what has been happening there over the last few weeks, with the old divisions redefined. Ultra-nationalists joining the White Turks and the Kurds on the streets, with military sympathy, against the Black Turk president, and literally millions of refugees poring over the Syrian border.

But the final spanner in the works, is that Iran is having a presidential election! What will that mean, now that Iran and Saudi are preparing to fight it out in whatever way they see effective?

Offline Michael

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Re: WE'RE STUFFED!!!
« Reply #1869 on: June 15, 2013, 03:27:37 AM »
And it's upon us now - the battle for Aleppo will be the symbolic sectarian war - it's no longer about Syria. Aleppo would be hard to take quickly, but large weapons haven't arrived for the Rebels yet, while Iranians and Lebanese have been poring in for the Shia. This will be big.

erik

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Syria
« Reply #1870 on: June 15, 2013, 04:57:59 AM »
Saudis support primarily secular and moderate factions among Syrian rebels. Sounds improbable? Not so, because Saudis have always viewed Muslim Bortherhood as a threat to their monarchy. It is Qatar and Turkey who have supported Muslim Bortherhood who, in turn, promoted salafist factions among rebels. Al-Qaeda in Syria (Jabhat al-Nusra) is a phenomenon in its own right.

Now Saudis (with the help of US) literally stepped on Qatar to stop the flow of arms to salafists.

Will Saudis join in? I doubt it. If they do, they would have to unleash a flow of their own salafists to Syria which they have prevented so far by threatening these jihadists with severe punishments. In other words, it is way too risky for Saudis to go to war in Syria. Their own state could become internally unstable.

Similarly, I do not think Iranians are willing to fight against any other state in Syria. They are teetering on the edge of being smacked because of their nuclear programme. In December 2012, they considered very seriously possible limitations to their involvement in Syria. They'd rather sacrifice Hezbollah in Syria as it would be gonner anyway if al-Assad fell.

Hence, it is not such an impossible puzzle. All sides have been playing rather safe/rationally so far (with the exception of Qatar), but the latest offensive of al-Assad and weakening of rebels, because the Saudis stepped on Qatar, necessitate the US intervention. Yet, it is likely to be limited to supplying arms and training. Rebels need 500-600 tons of ammunition a day, but they have received mere 30-40 tons lately. Israelis know that their strikes mean playing with fire and that they have practically no influence on Syrian developments.

You are absolutely right about Aleppo - if al-Assad launched an offensive, it would be a catastrophe even on the backdrop of 90,000 killed and 4,5 million displaced so far.

erik

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What the NSA can do
« Reply #1871 on: July 03, 2013, 06:55:19 PM »
Extensive coverage of Snowden's revelations.
Extensive coverage of Snowden's revelations.

Offline Michael

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Re: WE'RE STUFFED!!!
« Reply #1872 on: July 18, 2013, 08:29:54 PM »
Here it is again. This is by far the best summary of the current situation I have yet seen on the state of Global Warming.

http://guymcpherson.com/2013/01/climate-change-summary-and-update/

This guy has so many hyperlinks across to other resources, and like me, he is realistic about the outcome.

[with Joni Mitchell live 1970]

"“Pentagon knows that environmental, economic and other crises could provoke widespread public anger toward government and corporations” and is planning accordingly. Such “activity is linked to the last decade of US defence planning, which has been increasingly concerned by the risk of civil unrest at home triggered by catastrophic events linked to climate change, energy shocks or economic crisis — or all three.”"
« Last Edit: July 18, 2013, 08:36:52 PM by Michael »

erik

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Australian senator asks 'have we gone mad?'
« Reply #1873 on: July 23, 2013, 04:23:56 AM »
Bombs dropped on Great Barrier Reef marine park

http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2013/jul/21/bombs-dropped-great-barrier-reef

Senator asks 'have we gone mad?' after US planes jettison four unarmed bombs in training exercise gone wrong.

The US Navy says it may try to salvage four unarmed bombs dropped by fighter jets into Australia's Great Barrier Reef marine park last week when a training exercise went wrong.

The two AV-8B Harrier jets, launched from the aircraft carrier USS Bonhomme Richard, each jettisoned an inert practice bomb and an unarmed laser-guided explosive bomb into the World Heritage-listed marine park off the coast of Queensland on Tuesday, the US 7th Fleet said in a statement on Saturday.

The four bombs, weighing a total 1.8 metric tons (4,000 pounds), were dropped into more than 50 metres (164ft) of water, away from coral, to minimise possible damage to the reef, the statement said. None exploded.

The Great Barrier Reef marine park authority said in a statement that identifying options for the "rapid recovery" of the bombs so that they could pose no risk to the marine park was "a high priority". But the authority also said the ordnances posed a "low risk to the marine environment".

US 7th Fleet spokesman Lieutenant David Levy said on Monday the Navy was reviewing the possibility of retrieving the ordnances in consultation with Australian authorities.

"If the park service and the government agencies of Australia determine that they want those recovered, then we will co-ordinate with them on that recovery process," Levy said in an email.

The jets, from the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit, had intended to drop the ordnances on the Townshend Island bombing range, but aborted the mission when controllers reported the area was not clear of hazards.

"It was not safe to drop the bombs. There were civilian boats right below them," fleet commander William Marks told Australian ABC radio on Monday.

The pilots conducted the emergency jettison because they were low on fuel and could not land with their bomb load, the Navy said.

"The Harriers ... needed to get back to the ship, and so they conducted an emergency jettison," Marks said.

The emergency happened on the second day of the biennial joint training exercise Talisman Saber, which brings together 28,000 US and Australian military personnel over three weeks. The US Navy and Marine Corps were working with Australian authorities to investigate the incident, the Navy said.

A 7th Fleet spokesman did not immediately respond on Sunday, when asked by email whether the dumping posed any environmental risk.

Australian Senator Larissa Waters, the Greens spokeswoman on the Great Barrier Reef, described the dumping of bombs in such an environmentally sensitive area as "outrageous" and said it should not be allowed.

"Have we gone completely mad?" she told the ABC. "Is this how we look after our World Heritage area now? Letting a foreign power drop bombs on it?"

Graeme Dunstan, who is among environmentalists and anti-war activists demonstrating against the joint exercises, said the mishap proved that the US military could not be trusted to protect the environment.

"How can they protect the environment and bomb the reef at the same time? Get real," Dunstan said from the Queensland coastal town of Yeppoon, near where the war games are taking place.

The Great Barrier Reef, the world's largest network of coral structures, is rich in marine life and stretches more than 3,000km (1,800 miles) along Australia's north-east coast.


Offline Nichi

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Re: WE'RE STUFFED!!!
« Reply #1874 on: July 23, 2013, 06:52:04 AM »
I sure hope the US gets those bombs out of there. It's a very bad dream...
Not here, not there, but everywhere - always right before your eyes.
~Hsin Hsin Ming

 

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