Free trade (with tremendous agricultural subsidies in the Western countries) is definitely a way to kill the poor. However, the productivity of land is another matter. I'd reckon that modern companies employing GM species harvest more from an area unit than small farms (there are also studies supporting this claim). The trick is that they invest more to be able to do that. Small farms cannot even reach that level.
Considering the extent of starvation and the impact of climate change, the prospect is that GM species and intensive agriculture ought to provide in absolute terms more food than any other way of farming, but there are many obstacles:
-overall resistance to GM stuff and respective culture (at what King takes a go)
-start-up cost
-Western hunger for profit: e.g. the US company Monsanto tried to sell to India more productive GM rice that did not give any seed meaning that Hindus had to buy new plants every bloody year
So the technology is there to at least alleviate the problems in the short-term, but... there is no solution for over-population and climate change in the long-term.
...or do you think that small farms are the answer? I'd guess they would be useful after the collapse of civilisation, but they cannot possibly cope with over-populated, over-consumed earth.
You have raised a few issues here Juhani. The latest round of the Trade Talks fell apart, and from what I read, for good reason - the old story of the poorer countries being ripped off.
As for the the two articles above which you and I posted about land use. This is outside my expertise, but I see this is not a debate on purely emotive grounds. In both cases scientific studies or assessments are used to opposite results. Who do we believe?
I accept that farming practices which speak of better tools and resources are not really in question. What Monbiot is questioning is the difference between small farms verses mega-farms. I am certainly open to his argument on that, but again, I would need to hear numerous experts in the area, to make a definite decision.
What I am observing, and becoming concerned about, is the GM argument. I recently heard a radio program by a man who has just written a book, much along the lines of your article's content.
He began by saying Africa is held back by outdated farming practices. He even accepted the whole male-female issue which is so important in this analysis. He also said they needed tooling, seed, fertiliser, water and so on ... all good stuff. But then he moved to what was obviously his primary point - GM seeds.
The argument seems to be following a pattern around this issue.
One of the first claims put out is that GM seed will save the world's population from starvation, and so it should be adopted on humanitarian grounds. I have been watching this one, and although I can't recall the details, I have finally heard sufficient from those who are experts in the field, that this argument is complete bullocks. It simply doesn't hold up under informed analysis - not even close. this argument has been traced directly to Monsanto promotional material.
The next claim is that the reason people are resistant to GM is because they are firstly resistant to new innovations - always have been from the 'earth going around the sun', to steam trains, to aeroplanes to every new significant modification of our 'old ways' and our old mind. Then it moves to the particular resistance to genetic engineering as another example of the latest of 'innovation horror'.
The final point in this thread is that, as with all the previous leaps in technology, humans will eventually overcome their superstition, and adopt it with relish. Meaning, it is only irrational superstition which is causing the antagonism against GM (or GE - they can't seem to get that set) crops.
So the outcome is that the white middle class (the latest group to be targeted for ridicule by the right wing think tank fuelled agenda to clear away all resistance to multi-national organisations profit making freedom) is causing the famines of Africa by their petty indulgent and superstitious fantasies. It is this last step that alerts me to smelling something rotten in the state of Denmark.
What bothers me is that scientists are being corralled into propagating these arguments, often when it is not their area of expertise whatsoever. I sense there is a big trick being foisted upon an unsuspecting science community, by the power and influence of Monsanto, which I might add is unbelievably ruthless and enormous.
It doesn't take much intelligence to see that humanity is not always resistant to technological changes - what about the mobile phone, even when told it is dangerous to health! We have always been suspicious of some changes and willing to accept others. It is stupid to lump all technological change into one basket. Certainly there has been irrational suspicion, just as there has been irrational adoption. The pattern of resistance to such changes is not uniform - it has always been a case by case basis.
Also people have been burned before - there are so many cases where scientific/technological innovations or new substances have proved disastrous. We all know now that everything which comes from the 'lab' is not to be trusted. Most of it is, but I feel people now have a much more fine-grained perception of these innovations. To attempt to lump GM crops in with every other scientific discovery is disingenuous - meaning it is a ploy with ulterior motives.
The same then applies to resistance to genetic engineering. Not all GE creates suspicion. It has been shown that in the field of Health, we are very happy to trial new GE products. Also it is inaccurate for Monsanto to try to present their specific Roundup-ready GM seeds under the banner of all GE. There are many many GE research and products that are welcomed by the wider community, and many of which they are suspicious. Again it is a case by case, and people are right to go slow in many situations, before we can't turn back
But it is the Monsanto GM seeds that are really causing such a stir, and people have a right to identify that specific product for scrutiny and sceptical concern - there are very many good reasons to be cautious about it.
So I am not buying the whole argument that if we all don't buy one multi-national's product, we are somehow mired in superstition, and worse, guilty of mass starvation in Africa - that is an emotive argument unworthy of a true scientist. I like to hear the reports and assessments of many different sides of this debate - and I expect that to be ongoing for many years yet.