One of the conceptual mistakes pattern-addicts make, when they seek to construct extreme dots together to validate their desire for pattern, is to ascribe the pattern to a human group-agent. Why a group I don't know, because it is certainly more attractive than a single-agent. Nonetheless, the mistake is to leave out of the 'influence dot-construct' the aspect of chaos and general contextual chance. The desire to seek ulterior motive, over-valuates the power of any agent, and under-valuates the constant dance partner of randomness.
This why the attempt of all hidden agenda social groups to manipulate in their self-interest has always finally come undone. Not just because of its imbalanced strategy, but mainly due to the power of randomness flooding at the gates. "The best laid plans of mice and men..."
Well said. Chaos, chance, randomness.
No wonder that the best and historically most successful military schools have trained their students to lead troops in chaos, lack of information and constant danger. The basic belief or assumption behind such approach is that a perfect solution or a perfect course of action is completely impossible in war.
Every decision has inherent faults, and what leader needs to do, is to act, continuously re-assess and ajust his course of action, and correct his mistakes faster than his enemy. It has been even stated that it is an ultimate culmination of officer's career if the full responsibility to save the day falls upon him in the most critical and desperate of situations. It is the moment officer has trained and waited for all his life and when he lives to the fullest.
Or so they indoctrinated many of the men who made history and accomplished things considered nearly impossible.
Courage to take action knowing that one has no chance to come up with a perfect solution, speed and decisiveness in implementing taken decision knowing that it could be deeply faulty, and continuous fluid adjustments along the way always dominate over any perfect plan. This is what history of military leadership says after millenia of fighting.